[6.9 Sports Lottery] Dong Mo selected 5 strings 1 World Cup Preview on Monday! With scores, goal prediction!

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Today's event analysis:

Monday 003 World Cup 02:45 Estonia vs Norway

The fundamentals

The gap in strength between Estonia and Norway is significant. In the middle of Estonia's world rankings, most of the players come from domestic leagues or European low-level leagues, lack top stars, and rely on defensive counterattacks tactically, compressing space through dense defense lines, but the offensive end is inefficient, and has only scored 7 goals in the last 10 games. He conceded more goals per game on the defensive end, and his defense line is unfamiliar and has obvious height disadvantages. In contrast, Norway has a higher world ranking, with top players such as Haaland and Ode. He won 12 goals in 3 World Cup qualifiers, and averaged 12 goals per game, surpassing Europe in Europe, conceded only 2 goals on the defensive end, and the defense line was led by Ayer, and the system operates smoothly. The tactical styles of the two teams are contrasted clearly: Estonia relies on midfield interception and wing speed to create counterattacks, but its positional battles have a worrying ability to score goals; Norway uses the wing breakthrough and fast passes and cuts of the 433 formation, and cooperates with Haaland's fulcrum role and Odegao's midfield dispatch to form a three-dimensional offensive network.

Historical confrontations

Norway has dominated the last 10 matches, but Estonia has remained unbeaten against Norway in the last 3 home games, and there is a possibility of upset on the psychological level. However, the 0-0 draw in the first leg of the World Cup on March 16, 2025 can no longer reflect the current strength gap - Norway had not been fully completed at that time, and Estonia's recent defensive problems were fully exposed. It is worth noting that Estonia uses artificial turf at home, which may affect the passing and control rhythm of Norwegian technical players, but Norwegian tactics focus more on side impact and are relatively limited in impact from turf.

Fighting intention

Norway currently ranks first in Group I with 9 points in 3 games. If you win this game, you can lock in the top spot in the group in advance and advance to the World Cup directly. There is no doubt about the fighting intention. In contrast, Estonia has 1 win, 2 losses and 3 points in 3 matches, ranking in the middle and lower reaches of the group, and has little hope of qualifying. It is more about fighting for honor and lacking the motivation to burn the boat. Norway's promotion pressure is in sharp contrast to Estonia's desirelessness, which may lead to a one-sided trend in the game.

Recent status

Norway's recent status is perfect: wins in 3 World Cups, Haaland scored consecutive goals on the offensive end, Ode's pass and shots were excellent; he only conceded 2 goals on the defensive end, and goalkeeper Niland made many key saves. Estonia has been in a state of ups and downs, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in the last 10 games. Although it has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at home, it has frequent defensive loopholes when facing a strong team and has a weak awareness of defense line coordination. What’s even more fatal is that Estonia lacks a stable scoring point on the offensive end, with only 7 goals in the last 10 games, making it difficult to pose a substantial threat to Norway’s solid defense.

Institutional data

Institutional confidence in Norway is crushing: Norway will be drawn in the initial stage and let the 3.5 goals deep set, rising to 4 goals on the spot, with the away odds as low as 1.17, and the probability of home win is only 3%. This adjustment not only reflects Norway's strength advantages, but also implies the intent of the institution to pass deep discrepancy. It is worth noting that Norway has scored at least 3 goals in 9 of its last 10 games, while Estonia has conceded ≥3 goals in 4 of its last 6 games. The huge contrast between the offense and defense provides data support for the deep disk of the agency.

Comprehensive analysis

From strength, fighting spirit to state, Norway has an absolute advantage. Although Estonia's home artificial turf may bring certain variables, its defense loopholes and lack of offense are difficult to withstand Norway's wing impact and Haaland's high-altitude bombing. Norway's tactics are extremely targeted: using Sollot's cross to break through the cross on the wing, creating murderous intent. At the same time, the "two towers" tactics composed of Haaland and Sollot can directly target the air defense weaknesses of the Estonian central defender. The institution's deep set adjustment further strengthened Norway's expectations of a big victory. Combined with Norway's offensive efficiency and Estonian defense vulnerability, Norway recommended a big away victory in this game.

Comprehensive Recommendation:

Let the negative

0-3, 1-4, 0-4

3/4/5 Ball