June 21st USD Cup Group Stage Honduras vs El Salvador Event Analysis

⚽ 1. Game background and qualifying situation

Event stage: 2nd round of the US Cup Group B

Time and place: 10:00 on June 22, 2025, the United States neutral venue was held

Group ranking:

Honduras: Defeated 0-6 in the first game, with 0 points at the bottom of the group. If you lose again in this game, you may be eliminated early.

El Salvador: Drawing Curacao 0-0 in the first game, temporarily ranked second in the group with 1 point, and winning can take the initiative to qualify.

FIFA ranking: Honduras is 75th, El Salvador is 81st, with close strength.

2. Recent status and key data

Indicators

Honduras

Salvador

Records

4 wins and 1 loss (first 4 consecutive wins in the first round)

3 wins and 2 draws (5 consecutive games unbeaten)

Observation efficiency

Score 11 goals in the last 6 games, but 0 shots in the first round

7 goals scored in the last 6 games, only 1 shot in the first round, defensive stability

11 goals conceded in the last 6 games, conceded 6 goals in the first round, conceded 5 goals in the last 6 games, and cleaned up in the first round, away/home performance

4 wins and 2 losses in the last 6 home games

4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 away games

4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss

⚔️ 3. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

The last 10 matches: Honduras has a slight advantage in 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, but has not won 1 draw and 1 loss in the last two confrontations (1-1 in the friendly match in March 2024).

US Gold Cup: Honduras won all 2 games (4-0, 2019, 1-0, 2018).

Psychological level: Honduras coach Reinaldo Rueda has won 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 10 career games against El Salvador, with significant tactical suppression.

4. Tactics and lineup analysis

Honduras:

Formation: 4-2-3-1, after the first round of defeat, it may turn to conservative strategies.

Core Player:

Captain Anthony Rosino (Michao forward) broke out, with rich experience but was isolated in the first round.

Kevin Alvarez (Spanish Second Midfielder) is responsible for the sweep and needs to improve interception efficiency.

Hidden danger: Left winger Queoto retreated in the first round and had doubts about his appearance; the defense line lacks tacit understanding and is easily broken by counterattacks.

Salvador:

Formation: 4-2-3-1, focusing on defensive counterattack.

Core Player:

Bryan Gill (Russian Super League forward) has a great speed threat, but his performance in the first round is silent.

Goalkeeper Mario Gonzalez saved three saves in the first round and was in a stable state.

Hidden danger: lack of offensive creativity, only one shot in the first round; the accumulated yellow cards of Cartargona in the midfield may affect the defensive hardness.

5. Win-loss prediction

Mainstream view:

Honduras small victory (oppossibly 1.83): historical confrontation advantages + targeted deployment of the coach, if the defense is adjusted, it can rebound.

High probability results:

Small goal orientation (total goals

Half-time draw: Honduras has been unbeaten in 8 home games at the last 9 home games, El Salvador is cautious when playing away.

Risk warning: If Honduras continues the first round defensive loophole, El Salvador's counterattack may create an upset (the away odds are 5.10).

6. Key summary

Quick summary

Quote impact: Honduras loses and is likely to be eliminated, and El Salvador is unbeaten for unbeaten.

Recommended strategy: Priority focus on 2/3 of the total goals, and unbeaten in the second selection of Honduras (win/draw).