Manchester City VS Bournemouth: The key battles in the Premier League are in the four key battles, and De Bruyne s curtain call has triggered the topic!

1. Game background and fighting spirit

Manchester City (65 points, 6th place): Only 1 point away from the Champions League zone, you can get the third place if you win this game and take the initiative in the Champions League qualification. All four majors this season are gone (no championship), but their home record is strong (12 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, 67%), with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 home games, and averaging ≥2 goals per game

Bournemouth (53 points, 11th place): There is no pressure to relegate, and there is little hope of fighting for the qualification for the European war, and there is doubt about fighting spirit. The state has declined recently, with 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 games, and the main forward Yu Nall, midfielder Christie and other players were reimbursed for the season, and the offensive end was seriously damaged

2. Key data and advantages and disadvantages

Historical confrontations: Manchester City won 9 wins and 1 loss in the last 10 matches, winning all the home games, but lost 1-2 away in the first leg of this season Manchester City's advantage:

Ball control suppression: Average ball control rate of 68.8%, and stable home offense (average 2+ goals per game in the last 5 games). De Bruyne's curtain call: pre-match blue carpet ceremony + post-match tribute activity, the team's morale is high

Bournemouth Hidden Hazards: Defensive counterattack is limited: the main injury caused the counterattack efficiency to decrease, and the away game against strong teams is only 33.3x.

Settings reliance: 28% of goals come from set pieces, but Manchester City's high-altitude competition success rate is 54.6%, which may be targeted

3. Tactical game

Manchester City breaks the deadlock key: through the full-back's retraction, forming a 3-2-5 formation, using Haaland to grab the point and De Bruyne's straight pass to tear the defense line, Bournemouth strategy: It is highly likely to use 5-4-1 to shrink the defense, but the stability of the defense line has declined recently (the rate of conceding in the last 6 games has increased)

4. Forecast and score suggestions

Mainstream views : Institutional initial stage Manchester City let 1 goal (later rose to 1.25 goals), European odds win odds 1.49→1.40, market tendency is obvious

Score recommendation: Manchester City wins: 2-0 (probability 35%), 3-1 (30%), may be stalemate in the first half, and the gap is widened by the depth of the lineup in the second half

Unpossible: If Bournemouth defends to the death, a 1-1 draw (probability 15%)

5. Risk warning

Manchester City's state fluctuations: not winning in the last 2 games (FA Cup loss + league draw), you need to be wary of the decline in offensive efficiency Bournemouth Resilience: Manchester City has been upset this season, and has scored points against Arsenal and Manchester United away from home

Conclusion: Combining the fighting spirit, injuries, data and home court advantages, Manchester City wins, but pay attention to the adjustment of the on-the-spot lineup. Direction: Manchester City, which is not optimistic about the continuous cooling, can break through Maozi, and is more optimistic about the small victory and win with one goal, let the draw, and the big ball, and half of the game may have a surprise program effect. Optimistic!

Score: 2-1 3-2

Total: 3-5

Let's predict the other 2 games, 003 The Eredivisie is optimistic about the draw, the home team is unbeaten 001 Crystal Palace VS Wolves is also optimistic about the draw, the wolf team is unbeaten! !

Okay, that's it today.