Recommended today s game: Kawasaki Forward VS Osaka Gamba (with scores)

1. The situation and fighting spirit of the standings are only 2 points away from the points of the Kawasaki Forward (7th, 25th in the Japanese League) and Gamba Osaka (10th, 23rd points). Both need to grab points and improve their rankings. Kawasaki's forward has recovered recently. Osaka Gamba suffered three rounds of defeat and had a sluggish morale, with only 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the last 10 away games, and the away weakness became a fatal shortcoming. This battle is a key battle to consolidate the ranking for Kawasaki, and Osaka Gamba needs a rebound to boost morale.

2. Tactical style and core positioning

Kawasaki Forward:

Lineup adjustment: Winners Shin Yamada (4 goals) and Marsinho (3 goals) will become the main players of the wing breakthrough. The two contributed 32% of the team's goals this season, but the breakthrough success rate is only 35%, which depends on the dispatch of midfielder Akihiro (2.1 key passes per game).

Midfield Hazards: Midfield interception success rate is 49% (the countdown of the league), Chu Ameni and Modric need to undertake more offensive and defensive conversion tasks, but the interception success rate is only 49%, and may be targeted by Osaka counterattack.

Defensive line reorganization: The main central defender Denri was suspended, and 19-year-old player Yukio Takai (height 192cm, obvious speed advantage), but lack of experience, the success rate of high-altitude top-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square

Osaka Gamba:

Defensive counterattack: Using a 4-2-3-1 formation, two midfielders Neta Ravi (2.8 steals per game) and Tokuma Suzuki (3.1 interceptions) built a barrier in an attempt to block Kawasaki's offensive rhythm. The offensive end relies on Usa Mikishi (4 goals and 3 assists) to break through and set pieces (32% of the score), but the main striker Wilton (torn ankle ligament) is missing to weaken the impact of the wing.

Defensive line loophole: The central defender group Shinnosuke Nakatani and Fukuoka will have a 58% success rate in the top competition, but the awareness of assisting defense is weak, and they conceded 1.8 goals per game away, which is insufficient stability.

3. Injuries and lineup impact

Kawasaki forward: goalkeeper Zheng Chenglong (concussion), defender Shintaro Cheya (additive muscle injury), and Reschel (hamstring injury) have been absent for a long time. The defense line is led by substitute goalkeepers Rui Yamaguchi and Yuki Takai. They are inexperienced and have weak awareness of assisting defense. Midfielder Maito Fukusaka has released the ban and returned to strengthen his control, but the overall fault tolerance rate is low, and he has averaged 1.2 goals per game in the last 5 games.

Osaka Gamba: After Wilton was injured and missed, he relied on Usa Mikishi's single-core battle on the offensive end. He only scored 3 goals in his last 5 league games, which was inefficient. The midfield control has dropped due to Merino's absence, making it difficult to withstand Kawasaki's impact on the wing.

4. Historical confrontations and key data

Kawasaki striker has 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses against Osaka Gamba in the last 10 times, with a significant home advantage (4 wins, 1 draw in the last 5 home games), but in August 2023, he lost 3-4 at home, and his psychological advantage was weakened. In the set-piece game, Kawasaki scored 39%, while Osaka's corner kick defense missed a 37%, and the air defense ability of the central defender combined has become a hidden danger. In 4 of the last 5 matches, the total goals have exceeded 2.5 goals, showing "attack attributes".

5. Forecast and Score Reference

Kawasaki striker's home momentum and wing breakout may suppress Osaka Gamba's defense line, but the midfield control may be insufficient or may be used by Osaka's counterattack. Osaka Gamba's set-piece threat and defensive resilience may create an upset, especially when Kawasaki's defense line substitute players are not experienced. Based on the current data, it is optimistic that the home court can score three points. Reference scores: 2-1, 1-0, 2-0

Yokohama FCVS Kashiwa Sun God: 0-1, 1-1, 1-2

Yamagata Yamaji VS Kofu Fenglin: 0-0, 1-1, 0-1