Turin vs Venice: Serie A showdown

The 35th round of Serie A is about to usher in a key showdown - Turin, who is ranked in the middle, faces Venice, who is deeply trapped in the relegation zone at home. The two teams have completely different states and goals in recent times: Turin has no desires and no desires, while Venice has fought to the death for relegation. This article deeply analyzes the key points of the game from the perspectives of fundamentals, injuries, historical confrontations and handicap logic.

1. Basic comparison: balanced offense and defense vs relegation resilience

Turin: stable home court but weak offense

Advantage: stable home defense, conceded 13 goals at home this season, the third worst in Serie A, and remained unbeaten in the last 6 home games, including defeating AC Milan and other strong teams.

Hidden danger: The front line is seriously injured, the main center Duwan Zapata (torn cruciate ligament) is absent for a long time, and midfielder Lazaro is suspended, resulting in averaging only 0.83 goals per game in the last 6 rounds, and his offensive creativity plummeted.

Venice: Defensive counterattack under relegation pressure

Advantages: Strong intention to relegate, only 2 points away from the safety zone, unbeaten in 4 rounds in the past 4 rounds (3 draws and 1 loss), and improved defensiveness. Average of less than 1 goal conceded in the last 10 games.

Shortcoming: The away record is bleak, with 8 draws and 9 losses in 17 away games this season, and the offensive firepower league has a third-last average of only 0.82 goals.

2. Historical confrontation: Turin has a slight advantage, and the psychological game is subtle

The last 7 confrontations: Turin has won 3, draws 2 and lost, but he defeated Venice 47 1-0 away in the first leg of the season.

Home Suppression: Turin has won 2 and drawn 1 at home against Venice in the last three home games, but Venice reversed Turin 2-1 away in 2022, and there is a psychological suspense.

3. Injury impact: Turin's central axis collapses, Venice's forward recovery

Turin: 8 players including the forward core Duwan Zapata, midfielder Lazaro, central defender Schuls were absent, and both offense and defense were severely damaged.

Venice: Midfielders Buzio and Vial Carson are injured, but last season's top scorer Poyanpalo returns, which may increase the threat of counterattack.

4. Tactical Game: Defensive Counterattack and Midfield Control

Turin: It is expected to use the 3-5-2 formation, relying on the forward combination of Adams and Zapata, but it is necessary to solve the problem of insufficient midfield creativity, and set pieces may become the key to breaking the situation.

Venezia: Adopt a 5-4-1 deep defense, relying on crosses from the wing and Pojanpalo to grab points, and at the same time, using home pressing to create counterattack opportunities.

5. Eurasian handicap analysis: Market induction under the tie half of the set

Initial data: Most institutions open Torino and let the tie half of the set

to show goodwill, but the return rate is relatively high. Combined with Venice's intention to relegate, there is a suspicion of inducing the inflow of funds from the home team.

European Index: The average of main wins is 2.10, the draw is 3.20, and the away win is 3.60. The discrete index shows that the probability of main win is about 45%, and the draw needs to be focused on precautions.

Market trend: On-site institutions have lowered the market to a draw, the home team's water level has been lowered, which is suspected to be balanced betting, which implies that the probability of a draw has increased.

6. Results prediction: Turin’s small victory or draw ending

Score deduction: 1-0, 1-1

Core logic:

Turin’s home defense is stable, but it is difficult to win a big victory if the front line is weak; Venice may defend the draw if he is willing to fight to the death.

Venice is very resilient in the historical confrontation, and the injury problem of Torino weakens tactical execution.

Handicap adjustments reflect the market's defense against the draw. If Venice seizes the opportunity to set the ball, it is expected to score a surprise.

Conclusion: The touchstone of the relegation life and death battle and the mid-range team

This game is not only a key battle for Venice's relegation, but also an opportunity for Torino to test the depth of the lineup. If Turin can overcome the injury, he may win with his home advantage; on the contrary, if Venice continues to have a defensive resilience, he is expected to grab a valuable 1 point. Fans can lock in the live broadcast in the early morning of May 3 to witness this tactical game in Serie A!